Although I think a deal will be done to avert the March 1st "sequester,"
I do think the recovery is solidly in place enough, so the sequester,
at worst will not harm the economy too much, maybe just causing a slight
recession.......but some deficit reduction is really OK at this time to
calm financial markets from worrying too much about the nation's deficit
and outstanding debt.
As I judge the economy right now, there is plenty of cash
around (booming stock and bond markets), more truly wealthy people, plus
the economy is now solidly in the recovery mode, slow, but slow is good
since more longer lasting. And, CA is currently BOOMING with the budget
now forecast to be in surplus by 2014, the largest reduction in
unemployment in 25 years, currently an oil boom in Bakersfield, the Facebook
IPO, Tesla being Motor Trend Car of the Year, etc. And at about 12% of the
nation, enough to lead the economy no matter what obstructionist
politicians do. The BOOM is on…..maybe the greatest ever…..sure, there
will be a bubble to be popped, but still much too early……as for bid-up
RE prices in some areas, just a typical thing happening at the start of a
boom. For those who think the middle and lower classes are being left
out……true, but just a sign that there are so many more people left to
keep the boom continuing, when they eventually benefit from the
economy…….plus, booms always climb a wall of worry……the more I hear
words like “crazy” and “insane” while things like employment, RE and
stock prices are still well below highs, just makes me more confident.
So, as far as any negative impact of the "sequester" or market worry
about the possible sequester going into effect, I see it as just an
opportunity to load up on undervalued stocks, stocks of great companies
which have good balance sheets, pay good dividends and have a history of
raising them each year......stocks, like INTC (Intel), MSFT (Microsoft)
and some stocks I already hold and I think are undervalued like HAS
(Hasbro), in particular, but any other which dips decently in price.
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